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Trump's announcement of a ceasefire between India and Pakistan has sparked dissatisfaction in India, and the risk of future conflict remains.
On May 12, according to US media reports, US President Trump announced over the weekend that India and Pakistan had reached a "comprehensive and immediate ceasefire agreement". But in India's capital, New Delhi, many senior officials are furious. According to people familiar with the matter, Trump's post caught key officials in India off guard. It wasn't just the U.S. efforts to de-escalate the situation that really angered them, but Trump's move to steal the limelight from Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, undermining India's long-standing policy of resolving the Kashmir territorial dispute through bilateral negotiations, and worst of all, Trump's placing the old rivals on an equal footing, an approach that officials in New Delhi have resisted because India's economy has surpassed Pakistan's. While financial markets are likely to cheer on any ceasefire, its sustainability remains uncertain: Just hours after Trump announced the ceasefire, both sides reported drone strikes along the Line of Actual Control in Kashmir, though the ceasefire appeared to be holding by Sunday. India has also refused to revive a decades-old water treaty that is vital to Pakistan's economy. Moreover, the modalities of the ceasefire themselves may set the stage for more intense fighting in the future.