Trump sends two important signals! The Federal Reserve (FED) "indeed" keeps interest rates unchanged, latest price outlook for Bitcoin.

Gate news, on Thursday (June 19), during the Asian market lunch break, Bitcoin (BTC) continued to rise above $105,000, regaining ground lost in the overnight fall. The Federal Reserve announced that it would maintain the interest rate range at 4.25%-4.50%, and the crypto assets market experienced slight fluctuations, showing overall resilience. U.S. President Trump once again called for interest rate cuts, and U.S. media revealed that the U.S. is considering launching an attack on Iran this weekend.

Despite the escalating tensions between Israel and Iran, Bitcoin has still seen a V-shaped rebound, returning to around $105,000. According to technical analysis from CoinDesk Research, strong ETF inflows and the key support level of $103,650 highlight institutional investors' confidence amid market fluctuations.

The Federal Reserve (FED) has maintained the interest rate between 4.25% and 4.50% for the fourth consecutive time.

Powell hinted at the post-meeting news conference that the inflation rate is still slightly above the target level and may rise in the future, noting that Trump's tariff policy has had an impact on it. Powell supports the current policy stance, believing that this stance puts the Federal Reserve (FED) in a favorable position.

He warned that ongoing policy uncertainty would keep the Federal Reserve (FED) from changing interest rates, and any rate cuts would depend on further improvements in labor and inflation data.

This pause in interest rate cuts occurs against the backdrop of President Trump's continued pressure for rate cuts, as he again criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Powell.

According to the Kobeissi Letter, this is the fourth consecutive time that The Federal Reserve (FED) has kept interest rates unchanged. At the same time, Trump has been continuously calling for decision-makers to cut interest rates, labeling Powell as "always too late Powell."

Bloomberg reported, citing informed sources, that the United States is considering launching an attack on Iran this weekend. As a result of this news, the spot gold price surged sharply in the short term.

(Source: Bloomberg)

Bloomberg pointed out that the ongoing tensions in the Middle East continue to support gold prices. The escalation of geopolitical tensions and increasing economic uncertainty, coupled with the strong purchasing power of central banks and the inflow of funds into exchange-traded fund ( ETF ), have driven gold prices up nearly 30% this year.

This means that Bitcoin bulls are still under pressure.

Bitcoin rises due to inflow from spot ETF. While Ripple (XRP) slightly increased due to the potential resolution of the Ripple case, Bitcoin benefited from the inflow of the spot ETF. According to Farside Investors, the major capital inflows on June 18 included:

· Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) had a net inflow of $104.4 million;

· Bitwise Bitcoin Spot ETF (BITB) net inflow of $11.3 million;

· Grayscale Bitcoin Trust report net inflow of 10.1 million USD.

· Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) net outflow of $16.4 million.

Excluding BlackRock ( BLK ) iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) pending flow data, the total net inflow of Bitcoin spot ETF issuers is $109.4 million, which may extend the inflow duration to 8 trading days.

Considering the impact of the Iran-Israel conflict on risk sentiment, the ongoing capital inflow is of significant importance. The market intelligence platform Santiment commented: "The ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran has led to a significant increase in the volatility of the cryptocurrency market. Sentiment data shows that from June 12 to 15, bearish sentiment in the market was particularly evident, while at the same time, the price of Bitcoin fell by 4-6%, and the total market value of crypto assets evaporated by more than $200 billion."

Santiment emphasized the importance of spot ETF inflows for the stability of Bitcoin prices, adding: "Despite the initial panic, Bitcoin remains within the range of $104,000 to $105,000, thanks to continuous ETF fund inflows and the lack of subsequent military actions, reflecting the typical 'flight to safety and then stabilization' pattern seen in past geopolitical crises.

Bitcoin Price Outlook

FXEmpire analyst Bob Mason stated that Bitcoin partially reversed its 2.14% fall on Tuesday, with recent price movements depending on the Israel conflict, tariff news, legislative headlines, and ETF fund flows.

In a bearish scenario, with the escalation of the conflict in Iran, legislative barriers, unfavorable tariff developments, and outflows of ETF funds, the combined effect of these factors may drag BTC below the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA), making the $100,000 target possible.

In a bullish scenario, the Israel-Iran conflict ends, both parties continue to support the crypto assets bill, trade tensions ease, and ETF fund inflows increase. In these scenarios, BTC may retest its historical high of $111,917.

(Source: FXEmpire)

TRUMP-1.95%
BTC-0.83%
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Last edited on 2025-06-19 06:39:55
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