ETH/USDT Perptual Futures 15-minute strategy analysis (based on data from July 26, 2025 22:15)

Core logic: oscillating bullish, buy low sell high, strict risk control
Key Data Analysis
Price Dynamics:
The current K-line closes at 3743.78 (up 0.13%), with a fluctuation of only 0.15% (3744.51-3738.73), indicating a short-term balance between bulls and bears.
Support: 3738.73 (intraday low), 3700 (psychological level); Resistance: 3744.51 (intraday high), 3760 (previous high extension).
Indicator Signal:
RSI(6,12,24): 48.00/48.17/50.99 → Neutral to weak, no overbought or oversold risk.
MACD(12,26,9): DIF(0.88) crosses above DEA(0.41), MACD histogram turns positive(2.57), indicating a build-up of short-term bullish momentum.
Trading volume: 5,800 (well below the 5-day average of 18,110), with a strong market wait-and-see sentiment, caution is needed against false breakouts.
Low-risk strategy: Range breakout follow-up
Long Entry Conditions (Buy the Dip):
The price retraces to 3738-3740 (previous low support) and closes above without breaking in 15 minutes, in conjunction with the MACD bars continuing to expand.
Target: 3748 (previous high extension) → 3755 (1.5 times amplitude).
Stop loss: 3735 (break below previous low).
Short entry conditions (high sell):
The price surged to 3748-3750 without a volume breakout, and the RSI1 fell below 48.
Target: 3740→3735.
Stop Loss: 3753 (breakthrough previous high).
Breakthrough follow-up order conditions:
Breakout with volume exceeding 3745 (VOLUME >10,000), chase long to 3760;
The volume broke below 3735, shorting to 3720.
Timeliness and Risk Control
Operation window: 22:30-23:30 (high liquidity peak in the US market, easy to find direction).
Holding time: Single transaction ≤ 30 minutes, reduce position when profit reaches 80%.
Position Management: ≤5% of total capital, profit-loss ratio ≥2:1 (e.g., stop loss $3, take profit $6).
Strategic Advantage: Relying on trading at the boundaries of narrow fluctuation ranges, with a clear profit-loss ratio; the MACD golden cross provides momentum filtering, avoiding noise trades.
Risk Warning: Liquidity is relatively low on Saturday. If conditions are not met within 30 minutes, pause operations.
Action Summary: Lightly go long around 3740, stop loss at 3735, target at 3748; or short at 3748, stop loss at 3753, target at 3740. If the range is broken, follow the trend to chase the order. #余币宝年化收益破24%#