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Ethereum’s 4-Year Build-Up Ends as Breakout Sparks Mega-Rally Speculation
Ethereum’s breakout from a four-year range signals the next phase after its historic 54X surge during the previous market cycle.
Long accumulation periods like Ethereum’s often precede explosive rallies, especially when paired with tightening supply and rising institutional participation.
The latest breakout mirrors historic patterns that transformed Ethereum from consolidation to rapid growth in prior market cycles.
Ethereum has exited a prolonged consolidation phase, sparking market discussions about a possible extended rally. Recent developments point to growing institutional interest and a strengthening technical setup.
Four Years of Consolidation Ends
Between 2021 and 2025, Ethereum traded in a wide range between $1,000 and $4,000. This period followed its 54X surge from the 2018 cycle bottom to the 2021 peak. The sideways movement reflected steady accumulation, with strong holders buying from weaker ones. Importantly, price action maintained higher lows compared to the 2018 bear market, showing a structurally stronger market environment.
Merlijn The Trader, in a recent chart analysis, described this phase as a four-year charging period. He noted that the breakout marks the start of a potentially much larger move, suggesting that past performance could offer clues about future trajectories.
Breakout Setup and Price Projections
The 2025 breakout from the multi-year range positions Ethereum for an upward expansion. Historical patterns show that such breakouts can lead to rapid gains when supply tightens and demand builds. Merlijn The Trader speculated that if Ethereum repeats even a fraction of its last cycle multiplier from the $4,000 level, prices could reach $20,000 to $40,000, with an extended projection near $51,000.
The prior 54X rally was driven by rising DeFi adoption, NFT growth, and institutional participation. Market observers are watching closely to see whether similar catalysts will drive the next phase.
Institutional Inflows Strengthen Momentum
Cas Abbé reported that on August 11, spot Ethereum ETFs attracted $1.02 billion in inflows, a record for a single day. This surge pushed ETH to $4,366, its highest level in over two years. According to Abbé, such activity reflects large-scale positioning rather than short-term retail speculation.
If Bitcoin is able to hold its recent highs and capital rotation continues, Ethereum could lead the next market push. Experts are encouraging as they believe a technical breakout + institutional inflows position the market for movement, and the market could possibly allow for an altcoin rally in the near future.
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