🚨【Trump Tariff Shock: Will BTC Crash or Break Out?】

Trump just dropped the bomb — August 1 is the final deadline for tariff hikes.
"No extensions," he declared.
For equities, it’s an earthquake.
For Bitcoin, it’s a stress test.

🔻 What does this mean for crypto?
Trump announced: U.S. tariffs are officially back on. No delays, no mercy.
Markets were hoping for a softer stance — what they got was even tougher rhetoric.

Translation?
Rising trade tensions, risk of imported inflation, global asset repricing.
The crypto market, as always, reacts hard to macro headlines — and this one hits deep.

📉 Flashback: What happened last time tariffs hit?
Trump played this card back in April.
Crypto market cap lost 25% in a week.
BTC dumped ~20%, alts got obliterated.
Stocks sank, gold soared.
Funds fled to stablecoins or went full risk-off.

Lesson?
When trade war escalates, markets de-risk fast. Survival mode kicks in.

📊 What’s BTC’s setup now?
BTC has been stalling just under $120K.
Bulls tried to break out multiple times.
Psychological support: $100K
Technical support: $110,530
Resistance: $123,218

Simple logic:
Hold above $110K = strength
Lose $100K = risk of $90K or lower
Break $123K = new ATH cycle in play

📉 ETF Inflows Slowing
July saw huge inflows, pushing BTC to $119K.
But recently? Inflows drying up — some funds are even exiting.
Institutions are playing safe, sitting out the Trump risk.

On-chain stablecoin liquidity is still strong.
Money hasn’t left — it’s just parked, waiting.

⏰ When’s the action window?
Trump’s speech is on August 1 (U.S. daytime),
which means in Asia: expect volatility around 2AM–6AM (Taiwan time) on Aug 2.

→ Morning charts could already reflect major moves.
→ Asia open may extend it, followed by Europe/US amplifying the swing.
→ This is a full 24-hour volatility event.

🧠 How to prepare?
Don’t use high leverage. Missing a move > blowing up.
Stay liquid in cash/stables. Scale in only on sharp dips.
Watch the $100K level. It’s the pivot point.
Don’t chase open — wait for confirmation from U.S. session.

🧭 Bottom Line:
This Trump tariff round may not cause a crash — but it will cause a shakeout.

Shakeouts breed fear.
But they also breed opportunity.

Whoever survives this move… will be the one riding the next breakout.

#BTC # Bitcoin
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【川普关税声明对 BTC 的影响，该怕还是该捡？】

川普说话了——8/1 是最后期限，"不会延长"。
对股市来说，这是地震。
对比特币来说，这是压力测试。

🔻消息解读：为什么川普一句话能让加密市场震动？

川普宣布：美国对外关税恢复加征，8/1 准时上路，没有任何延长空间。
市场原本预期他可能会松口，结果没，态度反而更强硬。

这代表什么？贸易紧张升级，美国经济可能面临输入型通膨压力、全球资产重新定价。

加密市场一直以来很吃消息面，这种宏观级利空，短线避险情绪飙升，BTC 自然也遭池鱼之殃。

📉历史借镜：4 月的关税震撼弹发生了什么？
川普 4 月也玩过一次关税牌，当时加密整体市值一周蒸发 25%，BTC 跌两成，山寨币直接爆掉。
美股跌，黄金涨，资金转向稳定币或场外观望。

所以我们学到：
当贸易战升级，市场会先砍风险资产，先求活着再说。

📊现在 BTC 处在什么位置？技术面怎么看？
BTC 最近一直卡在 12 万前面打转，多头已经测试好几次了。
短线 10 万是重要心理支撑，110,530 是技术支撑，上面压力在 123,218。

简单说：
如果 BTC 能撑住 11 万、横盘不破，就是强。
如果破 10 万，就可能看到 9 万甚至更深。
但如果突破 12.3 万，那就是开启新高行情。

📉ETF、资金流怎么看？
7 月 ETF 资金大举流入，帮 BTC 推上 11.9 万，但最近明显降温，甚至出现净流出。
代表机构也开始观望，不想赌这一波川普风暴。

稳定币流动性还在，资金没离场，只是停泊中。
场外资金很多，但都在等一个明朗方向。

⏰台湾时间什么时候会有剧烈波动？
川普在美国 8/1 白天讲话，台湾时间约落在 8/2 凌晨～清晨。
也就是说，你醒来时价格可能已经剧烈反应过一次。

亚洲早盘可能会延续波动，接下来欧盘、美盘进一步放大行情。
这是一场横跨 24 小时的剧本。

🧠要怎么应对？我的建议是：
不要开高杠杆，宁愿错过，不要做错。
守住现金／稳定币弹药，逢大跌才考虑分批接。
观察 100K 是否守得住，这是转折点。
不要一开盘就追单，等美股方向再确认一次。

🧭最后总结一句话：
这波川普关税，不一定会崩，但一定会震。
震出恐惧，也是震出机会。
撑过这波，BTC 就会筛出真正的强者。