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Assad six-pack abs are generous

Get a glimpse of the most noteworthy market trends and important events of the last week, as well as AI-recommended investment analysis and financial strategies.

Report time: 2024-05-15 10:24

## The general trend of the market

### Market sentiment

- Based on recent data, the market sentiment is cautiously optimistic. Bitcoin experienced a brief pullback after the Halving, but then quickly rebounded, showing strong resilience.
- The alt market has also seen a sharp pump, especially the AI concept coin. The overall Fear & Greed Index is in the "greedy" range, reflecting a trend of optimism in the market.
- But at the same time, some strong coins have pullbacks, indicating that there is still some uncertainty in the market. Investors need to remain cautiously optimistic and pay attention to the impact of major events and data.

### Macroeconomic implications

- The better-than-expected US non-farm payrolls data supported market expectations that the Fed could cut interest rates earlier this year, which was positive for risk assets.
- However, hawkish comments from Fed officials also made the market doubt about the timing of interest rate cuts, and the dollar index hit a new high in nearly half a year, which could put some pressure on the Crypto Assets market.
- Changes in the geopolitical situation are also an uncertain factor. Tensions in the Middle East have heightened risk aversion in the market, but a de-escalation could be conducive to a rebound in risk assets.

## Analysis of capital and price Fluctuation

### Price Fluctuation Analysis

Bitcoin experienced wild Fluctuation in the last week. According to the research report, Bitcoin prices fell sharply fall 11% at the beginning of the week, fall to around $57,000, hitting a two-month low. This is mainly due to the fact that Bitcoin Halving events are approaching, and investors are "buying on rumors and selling on facts" in advance. However, Bitcoin quickly rebounded and returned above $65,000 by the end of the week.

Volume data shows a significant increase in trading activity during periods of price falls, indicating a shift in market sentiment to caution. But after the price rebound, volume declined, reflecting investors' disagreement on the outlook. In general, the price Fluctuation of Bitcoin has increased and may remain high in the short term.

### Funding analysis

The data shows that during the fall of Bitcoin prices, there was a large outflow of funds in the Spot Bitcoin ETF. Among them, the Grayscale Trust Fund GBTC had a net outflow of more than $560 million that week. At the same time, other Bitcoin ETF products such as Fidelity and Bitwise saw net inflows.

From the perspective of the investor group, institutional investors seem to "buy by hearsay, sell by facts" before and after the Halving, resulting in a large outflow. Retail investors, on the other hand, bought the dips at the dips, fueling the later Rebound.

Overall, the Bitcoin Halving incident triggered a sharp Fluctuation in funding. Outflows from institutional investors are likely to weigh on prices in the short term, while retail investor inflows may supporting price stabilization.

## Major Events

### The fourth Halving of Bitcoin is complete

On April 20, 2024, the fourth Halving of Bitcoin was successfully completed. This is an important milestone in Bitcoin's history and will Halving Bitcoin issuance from 6.25 to 3.125 every 10 minutes. Halving is expected to increase Bitcoin's scarcity and store of value functions, but it may also trigger price fluctuations in the short term.

### US SEC approved Bitcoin Spot ETF

In March 2024, the U.S. SEC (SEC) approved Bitcoin Spot ETF's listing application. This is the first time that the U.S. has approved Bitcoin Spot ETF and is expected to drive institutional investors into the Crypto Assets market. After the approval, long asset management companies launched Bitcoin Spot ETF products one after another.

### The SFC approves Bitcoin and Ethereum Spot ETF

Following the US, the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission also approved the listing of Bitcoin and Ethereum Spot ETF in Hong Kong in April. This marks a breakthrough for Crypto Assets ETF products in the Asian market and is expected to further drive the participation of institutional investors.

### Arbitrum upgraded to Nitro Chain

Ethereum's layer-2 scaling solution, Arbitrum, was upgraded to the Nitro Chain in March, significantly improving throughput and scalability. After the upgrade, the Arbitrum ecosystem has also ushered in the addition of more long projects, and the ecological activity has increased significantly.

### ChatGPT launches paid subscription service

ChatGPT, an artificial intelligence chatbot, launched ChatGPT Plus, a paid subscription service, in March. This move is expected to bring a new revenue stream to OpenAI, while also reflecting the commercialization prospects of AI technology.

### Aptos launches mobile Wallet Aptos Petra

Aptos launched its mobile Wallet Aptos Petra in April with the aim of providing users with a more convenient experience. Petra Wallet supports longest chains, NFT display and other functions, which is expected to promote the development of the Aptos ecosystem.

### Polygon zkEVM Testnet launched

Ethereum scaling solution Polygon's zkEVM Testnet went live in March. zkEVM is expected to significantly improve the scalability and privacy of Polygon, attracting more long projects.

### Uniswap v3 is deployed to zkSync

The v3 version of the DEX Uniswap was deployed to zkSync in April. This move is expected to improve Uniswap's privacy and scalability, bringing a better experience to users.

### Lido launches decentralized depositary receipts

Lido launched Distributed Validator Technology (DVT) in March, aiming to further decentralize its services. DVT is expected to enhance the security and reliability of Lido.

### Sui Testnet Sui Devnet launched

Testnet Sui Devnet, a new public chain launched by Mysten Labs, was launched in April. Sui is positioned for Web3 games and social applications, and the launch of Devnet is expected to promote its ecological construction.

## Recent Hot Topics

### Bitcoin Halving and its implications

Bitcoin's fourth Halving was successfully completed on April 16. The data showed that the price of Bitcoin briefly falls before and after the Halving, but quickly rebounded and remained above $60,000. Similar to the previous Halving cuts, there may be some fluctuation in the price within 60 days after the Halving. Analysts believe it could take about 100 days for the impact of the supply shortage caused by the halving to be felt. At the same time, Bitcoin has been stronger than Ethereum in this round of Bull Market, attracting more long inflows.

### Israeli-Iranian conflict intensifies

In mid-April, a conflict broke out between Israel and Iran over the territory. After the two sides attacked each other, Israel at one point considered launching a large-scale counterattack against Iran. Under diplomatic pressure from the United States and other countries, Israel eventually abandoned this plan. Analysts believe that if the conflict escalates further, it could trigger a major conflict in the Middle East. At present, the two sides still maintain a certain degree of restraint, but there is still a risk of escalation of the situation.

### US Crypto Assets Regulatory Moves

The U.S. Crypto Assets industry is influencing the upcoming election by pouring a lot of money into Washington. Some encryption political action committees have raised tens of k million dollars to support encryption-friendly candidates. Although Crypto Assets holders tend to prefer Trump as president, industry insiders are divided on whether Trump is really more beneficial to Crypto Assets. At the same time, senators also challenged the attorney general over the regulation of encryption software services.

### Yen Exchange Rate Trend

The data shows that speculators' positions betting on the depreciation of the yen have reached record levels. Analysts believe that this makes the yen increasingly risky for a rebound. If the Central Bank of Japan intervenes in forex to support the yen, it may use its holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds and have an impact on the U.S. bond market. However, the current conditions have not yet met the historical precedent that would trigger coordinated intervention.

### Crypto Assets industry development

After Bitcoin Halving last week, the market performance was relatively stable. Some popular projects have pushed up the Bitcoin Money Laundering, so that the Miner's income has increased instead of declining for the time being. At the same time, Bitcoin's implied Volatility Index DVOL has declined, indicating that market sentiment is relatively stable. Analysts believe that there are fewer macro events this week, and risk assets can still see significant fluctuations.

## The latest developments in global policies and regulations

### Policy & Regulatory Updates

- U.S. senators have questioned the Justice Department's pursuit of Crypto Assets services that could affect free speech for software developers.
- Oklahoma signed legislation protecting Bitcoin rights, including self-custody, consumption, and mining.
- The U.S. House of Representatives passed a resolution to overturn the SEC's encryption accounting policies, aiming to promote Crypto Assets regulation.

## Investment Analysis

### Investment recommendation: grasp the hot spots in the market and lay out promising crypto coins

Market Movement: Prices fluctuated after Bitcoin Halving, but the overall upward trend remained pump. The Ethereum ecosystem continues to be active, and Layer 2 scaling solutions have attracted much attention.

Hot News: Shiba Inu Raises $12 Million to Develop Privacy Chain; Mina will enhance ZK Programmability; The proposal for the Injective tokenomics upgrade was approved.

Crypto Assets Quotes: Bitcoin pumped slightly higher and is now trading at $65,859.90; Ethereum pump 1.35% to $3,211.63.

| Coins | Current Price | Recommended Holdings Amount | Risk & Reward | Reason for recommendation |  |
| ---- | ----------- | ------------- | ------------------ | ------------------------------ | - |
| BTC  | $65,859.90  | 0.5BTC        | Medium Risk, Medium High Return | Supply is reduced after the Halving, and it will remain hard currency in the long term  |
| ETH  | $3,211.63   | 10ETH         | Medium and high risk, high reward | Layer 2 expansion is expected to promote ecosystem development  |
| SHIB | $0.00002736 | 1,000,000SHIB | High Risk, High Reward | Privacy Chain development is expected to bring new application scenarios |  |
| MINA | $1.63       | 1,000MINA     | Medium and high risk, high reward | ZK Programmability upgrade is expected to promote ecological development  |
| INJ  | $1.89       | 5,000INJ      | Medium Risk, Medium High Return | Tokenomics upgrades are good for long-term value |  |



The chart above shows the price action of the recommended Crypto Assets (ETH, SHIB, MINA, INJ) and Bitcoin (BTC) over the past 7 days. The prices of ETH, SHIB, MINA, and INJ are represented in blue, while the prices of BTC are represented in red. The price Fluctuation of various Crypto Assets can be seen from the chart, which provides a reference for market research and investment decisions.

Disclaimer: The above recommendations are based on current market analysis only and are not financial advice. Investment is risky, please be cautious.

### Long-term investment strategy

For long-term investors, it is recommended to pay attention to encryption asset projects with practical application value, such as Ethereum, Polkadot, etc. The technological advancement and ecosystem development of these projects are worth looking forward to. At the same time, diversifying investments in different types of encryption assets helps diversify risks. Risks include regulatory policy changes, technology vulnerabilities, and more. It is recommended to develop a stop loss strategy to control risk exposure.

### Yu coin Bao Yu coin earn interest, save and take at any time, and Interest compound interest

After the user subscribes to the coin treasure, the system will determine whether the loan is successful and the Intrerest Rate of the hour according to the lending Intrerest Rate set by the user and the actual borrowing demand on each hour, and the Interest of the hour can be obtained if the loan is successful.coin

The total amount of USDT in the remaining coin treasure is 1.044 billion USDT, and the estimated APR rate of return is 6.49%+8.87%.

| Coin | Total Wealth Management | Estimated APR Rate of Return |
| ---- | ------------ | -------------- |
| USDT | 363515039.05 | 6.14% + 8.87%  |
| BTC  | 1634.26      | 0.88% + 5.12%  |
| ETH  | 24143.55     | 0.88% + 6.12%  |
| AEVO | 1356818.31   | 400.00%        |

### Asset allocation Risk Management strategy

1. Set a stop loss point: It is recommended to set a reasonable stop loss point for each investment to control potential losses. Stop loss levels can be adjusted according to individual risk appetite and investment goals.
2. Diversification: Don't concentrate all your funds in a single asset or industry, but appropriately diversify your investments in different types of assets, such as stocks, bonds, Crypto Assets, etc., to drop risks.
3. Regular Assessments and Adjustments:

   - Evaluate the portfolio on a quarterly basis and make necessary adjustments based on market changes and new opportunities.
   - Rebalance the portfolio with a comprehensive review of the overall asset allocation on a semi-annual or annual basis.
4. Risk Management awareness: Maintain Risk Management awareness at all times, pay close attention to market dynamics, and take timely actions to deal with potential risks.
5. Professional advice: If necessary, you can seek the advice of a professional investment advisor for a more professional asset allocation plan.

一览上周最值得关注的市场行情与重要事件，以及 AI 为您推荐的投资分析与理财策略。

报告时间：2024-05-15 10:24

## 市场行情大势

### 市场情绪

- 根据近期数据，市场情绪呈现谨慎乐观的状态。比特币在减半后出现短暂回调，但随后迅速反弹，显示出较强的韧性。
- 山寨币市场也出现了大幅上涨，尤其是AI概念币种表现突出。整体恐惧与贪婪指数处于"贪婪"区间，反映市场情绪趋于乐观。
- 但同时也有部分强势币种出现回调，显示市场仍存在一定的不确定性。投资者需保持谨慎乐观的心态，关注重大事件和数据的影响。

### 宏观经济影响

- 美国非农就业数据优于预期，支持了市场对美联储可能在今年更早降息的预期，这有利于风险资产表现。
- 但美联储官员的鹰派言论也令市场对降息时间表存疑，美元指数创下近半年新高，这可能会对加密货币市场构成一定压力。
- 地缘政治局势的变化也是一个不确定因素。中东局势紧张加剧了市场的避险情绪，但如果局势缓和则有利于风险资产反弹。

## 资金面、价格波动分析

### 价格波动分析

比特币在上周经历了剧烈波动。根据研报数据，比特币价格在周初大幅下跌11%，跌至57,000美元附近，创下两个月新低。这主要是由于比特币减半事件临近，投资者提前"买于传闻，卖于事实"。不过，比特币价格随后迅速反弹，周末时重返65,000美元上方。

交易量数据显示，在价格下跌期间，交易活跃度明显提高，表明市场情绪转向谨慎。但在价格反弹后，交易量有所下降，反映出投资者对后市存在分歧。总的来说，比特币的价格波动幅度加大，短期内或将维持高位震荡。

### 资金面分析

数据显示，在比特币价格下跌期间，现货比特币ETF出现了大量资金外流。其中，灰度信托基金GBTC当周资金净流出超过5.6亿美元。与此同时，富达、Bitwise等其他比特币ETF产品则出现了资金净流入。

从投资者群体来看，机构投资者似乎在减半前后"买于传闻，卖于事实"，导致了大量资金流出。而零售投资者则在低位逢低买入，推动了后期的反弹行情。

总的来说，比特币减半事件引发了资金面的剧烈波动。机构投资者的资金流出可能会在短期内对价格构成压力，而零售投资者的增持或将支撑价格企稳回升。

## 主要事件

### 比特币第四次减半完成

2024年4月20日，比特币第四次减半圆满完成。这是比特币历史上的一个重要里程碑，将使比特币的发行量减半，从每10分钟6.25枚降至3.125枚。减半有望提高比特币的稀缺性和价值储备功能，但短期内也可能引发价格波动。

### 美国SEC批准比特币现货ETF

2024年3月，美国证券交易委员会（SEC）批准了比特币现货ETF的上市申请。这是美国首次批准比特币现货ETF，有望推动机构投资者加入加密货币市场。批准后，多家资产管理公司相继推出比特币现货ETF产品。

### 香港证监会批准比特币和以太坊现货ETF

继美国之后，香港证监会也于4月批准了比特币和以太坊现货ETF在港上市。这标志着加密货币ETF产品在亚洲市场的突破，有望进一步推动机构投资者的参与。

### Arbitrum升级到Nitro链

以太坊第二层扩容方案Arbitrum于3月升级到Nitro链，大幅提升了吞吐量和可扩展性。升级后，Arbitrum生态也迎来了更多项目的加入，生态活跃度显著提高。

### ChatGPT推出付费订阅服务

人工智能聊天机器人ChatGPT于3月推出了付费订阅服务ChatGPT Plus。这一举措有望为OpenAI带来新的收入来源，同时也反映出人工智能技术的商业化前景。

### Aptos推出移动钱包Aptos Petra

Aptos于4月推出了移动钱包Aptos Petra，旨在为用户提供更便捷的体验。Petra钱包支持多链、NFT展示等功能，有望推动Aptos生态的发展。

### Polygon zkEVM测试网上线

以太坊扩容方案Polygon的zkEVM测试网于3月上线。zkEVM有望大幅提升Polygon的可扩展性和隐私性，吸引更多项目进驻。

### Uniswap v3部署至zkSync

去中心化交易所Uniswap的v3版本于4月部署至zkSync。这一举措有望提高Uniswap的隐私性和可扩展性，为用户带来更好的体验。

### Lido推出分散型存托凭证

Lido于3月推出了分散型存托凭证（Distributed Validator Technology，DVT），旨在进一步提高其服务的分散化程度。DVT有望增强Lido的安全性和可靠性。

### Sui测试网Sui Devnet上线

Mysten Labs推出的新公链Sui的测试网Sui Devnet于4月上线。Sui定位于Web3游戏和社交应用，Devnet上线有望推动其生态建设。

## 近期热点专题

### 比特币减半及其影响

比特币第四次减半于4月16日顺利完成。数据显示，减半前后比特币价格出现短暂下跌，但很快反弹并保持在6万美元上方。与前几次减半类似，减半后的60天内价格可能会出现一定波动。分析师认为，减半引起的供应短缺影响可能需要约100天后才会显现。与此同时，比特币相比以太坊在本轮牛市中表现更为强劲，吸引了更多资金流入。

### 以色列与伊朗冲突加剧

4月中旬，以色列与伊朗在领土问题上爆发冲突。双方互相发动袭击后，以色列一度考虑向伊朗发动大规模反击。在美国等国家的外交压力下，以色列最终放弃了这一计划。分析人士认为，如果冲突进一步升级，可能会引发中东地区的重大冲突。目前双方仍保持一定克制,但局势仍存在升级风险。

### 美国加密货币监管动向

美国加密货币行业正通过在华盛顿投入大量资金来影响即将到来的选举。一些加密政治行动委员会已筹集数千万美元支持加密友好的候选人。尽管持有加密货币的选民往往更喜欢特朗普当选总统,但业内人士对特朗普是否真的更有利于加密货币存在分歧。与此同时,参议员也就加密软件服务的监管问题向司法部长提出质疑。

### 日元汇率走势

数据显示,投机者押注日元贬值的头寸已达到创纪录水平。分析师认为,这使得日元反弹的风险越来越大。如果日本央行为支撑日元而进行外汇干预,可能会动用所持有的美国国债,对美国债券市场产生影响。不过,目前条件尚未满足引发协调干预的历史先例。

### 加密货币行业发展

上周比特币减半后,市场表现相对平稳。部分热门项目推高了比特币交易费用,使得矿工收入暂时不降反增。与此同时,比特币的隐含波动率指数DVOL有所下降,显示市场情绪相对稳定。分析师认为,本周宏观事件较少,风险资产仍可能出现大幅波动。

## 全球政策法规最新进展

### 政策和法规更新

- 美国参议员质疑司法部对加密货币服务的追查，可能影响软件开发者言论自由。
- 俄克拉荷马州签署法案保护比特币权利，包括自我保管、消费和开采。
- 美国众议院通过决议推翻SEC加密会计政策，旨在促进加密货币监管。

## 投资分析

### 投资推荐：把握市场热点，布局潜力币种

市场动向：比特币减半后价格震荡，但整体保持上涨趋势。以太坊生态持续活跃，Layer 2扩容方案备受关注。

热门快讯：Shiba Inu筹集1200万美元开发隐私链；Mina将增强ZK可编程性；Injective代币经济学升级提案获通过。

加密货币行情：比特币小幅上涨，现报65,859.90美元；以太坊涨1.35%，现报3,211.63美元。

| 货币 | 当前价格    | 建议持仓金额  | 风险与回报         | 推荐理由                       |  |
| ---- | ----------- | ------------- | ------------------ | ------------------------------ | - |
| BTC  | $65,859.90  | 0.5BTC        | 中等风险，中高回报 | 减半后供应减少，长期仍是硬通货 |  |
| ETH  | $3,211.63   | 10ETH         | 中高风险，高回报   | Layer 2扩容有望推动生态发展    |  |
| SHIB | $0.00002736 | 1,000,000SHIB | 高风险，高回报     | 隐私链开发有望带来新应用场景   |  |
| MINA | $1.63       | 1,000MINA     | 中高风险，高回报   | ZK可编程性升级有望推动生态发展 |  |
| INJ  | $1.89       | 5,000INJ      | 中等风险，中高回报 | 代币经济学升级有利于长期价值   |  |



上图显示了推荐加密货币（ETH、SHIB、MINA、INJ）和比特币（BTC）在过去7天内的价格走势。ETH、SHIB、MINA和INJ的价格使用蓝色系表示，而BTC的价格使用红色表示。从图中可以看出各种加密货币的价格波动情况，为市场研究和投资决策提供参考。

免责声明：以上推荐仅基于目前的市场分析，并非财务建议。投资有风险，请谨慎决策。

### 长期投资策略

对于长期投资者而言，建议关注具有实际应用价值的加密资产项目，如以太坊、Polkadot等。这些项目的技术进步和生态系统发展值得期待。同时，分散投资于不同类型的加密资产，有助于分散风险。风险包括监管政策变化、技术漏洞等。建议制定止损策略，控制风险敞口。

### 余币宝  余币生息、随存随取、利息复利

余币宝有助于将有闲置资产和有借款需求的用户相匹配，用户申购余币宝后，每个整点将由系统根据用户设置的借出利率和实际借款需求判定是否借出成功以及该整点的利率，借出成功可以获得该小时的利息。

USDT在余币宝中的理财总量为10.44亿USDT，预估年化收益率为6.49%+8.87%。

| 币种 | 理财总量     | 预估年化收益率 |
| ---- | ------------ | -------------- |
| USDT | 363515039.05 | 6.14% + 8.87%  |
| BTC  | 1634.26      | 0.88% + 5.12%  |
| ETH  | 24143.55     | 0.88% + 6.12%  |
| AEVO | 1356818.31   | 400.00%        |

### 资产配置风险管理策略

1. 设置止损点：建议为每笔投资设置合理的止损点,以控制潜在损失。止损点可根据个人风险偏好和投资目标进行调整。
2. 分散投资:不要将所有资金集中在单一资产或行业,应适当分散投资于不同类型的资产,如股票、债券、加密货币等,以降低风险。
3. 定期评估和调整:

   - 每季度对投资组合进行评估,根据市场变化和新机会进行必要调整。
   - 每半年或年度对整体资产配置进行全面审查,重新平衡投资组合。
4. 风险管理意识:时刻保持风险管理意识,密切关注市场动态,及时采取行动应对潜在风险。
5. 专业建议:如有需要,可寻求专业投资顾问的建议,以获得更专业的资产配置方案。

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